1. Initial Water Allocation Expected at 15-25% with Potential to Reach 50%
The district is expecting its initial water allocation announcement around February 23rd, with projections ranging from 15-25% due to low snowpack and the Port Chicago Spring X2 trigger. However, if precipitation continues through February and March, the final allocation could potentially reach around 50% in a best-case scenario if conditions trend closer to a 50% exceedance hydrology rather than the 90% exceedance case. The district may utilize its drought pool water (approximately 30,000 acre-feet or 2.5% equivalent) under recently approved flexible use for this year’s drought pool to help meet early spring delivery needs while maintaining operational flexibility.
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