1. Eight modeled projects bring the Modesto Subbasin close to eliminating groundwater-level undesirable results. Woodard & Curran presented draft modeling in which Scenario 1, incorporating eight supply and recharge projects, leaves two years with undesirable results around 2068–2069. Scenario 2 adds roughly 2,000 acre-feet per year of demand reduction in Non-District East, corresponding to about 500 fewer acres in agricultural use in the modeled scenario. That eliminates the remaining modeled groundwater-level undesirable results; permanent land retirement was not specified.
2. The projects yield about 65,000 acre-feet per year under assumed full buildout. Their average annual modeled yields comprise 32,100 acre-feet of direct recharge and 33,100 acre-feet of in-lieu recharge. The eight projects include four municipal projects, two in-lieu supply or recharge projects, and two flood mitigation projects. City of Modesto Stormwater Optimization was added since the previous presentation. The model assumes a ramp-up beginning in 2027 and full buildout around 2042; those dates are modeling assumptions, not a construction commitment.
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