1. Water Supply Outlook Is Dire — Second-Worst Snowpack on Record The Kaweah snow course measurement came in at just 17% — the second-lowest April 1 reading ever recorded (behind only 2015's 15%). Despite DWR and CNRFC projections showing 39–43% runoff, Aaron Fukuda believes actual runoff will likely land around 20–30%. The ASO snow data was discussed as approximately 54,600–55,000 acre-feet after the latest storm, but staff noted the slide shown was outdated (“old news”) and Aaron had the prior report. Fukuda said “our chances of filling are zero” (framed as his view “between us”), though he also said the lake can still fill but likely won’t require a flood release at Terminus. Growers should plan for a very tight supply year.
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